Advice 2 : How to calculate payback
- - handle
- - a sheet of paper
For example, we bought an apartment on the first floor of a residential building over 3 000 000 RUB 600 000 we spent for repair and bureaucratic procedures and the arrangement of the adjacent territory. Then, by submitting the Declaration, handed over the premises to the lessee, who is to pay the monthly utilities and the amount of 40 000 rubles.
Thus, our investments amounted to 3, 600, 000. And the monthly profit of the project is 40 000 rubles. For the full payback of the investment will be required to surrender our space for rent for (3 600 000 / 40 000 90 months, or 7.5 years.
Thus, the ROI will come through the (300 000 / 40 000 a) 7.5 months.
For ease of comparison, take the amount of the Deposit equal to the cost of the GAZelle, 300, 000. Assume that, under the terms of the Bank, interest is paid at maturity. Thus, after 1 year, the amount of our investment will grow to (300 000 * 10,5%) 31 500 rubles. And we will have 331 500 rubles.
For 12 months of work in freight, we will receive (40 000 x 12) 480 000 RUB. From a mathematical point of view, this means that in our examples it is more profitable to invest in transportation, and not to the Bank.
I hope that now you will make financial decisions with greater rationality.
Advice 3 : How to find the payback period
- table showing the time (e.g. year) and appropriate capital investment in the project, calculator, Notepad and pen
The time period and the Investment and profit
0 - 50 million rubles
1 - 10 million rubles
2 + to 5 million rubles
3 + 20 million rubles
4 + 30 million rubles
5 + 40 million rubles
NDP = B1 + B2/(1 + SD) + B3/(1 + SD) + V4/(1 + SD) + B5/(1 + DM) where
The NDP is the accumulated discounted flow V1-5 – attachments for a certain period of time, SD is the discount rate.
НДП1 = - 50 – 10 / (1+0.1) = - 59.1 million rubles.
In this way we hope НДП2,3,4 and so on, until a zero or positive value.
НДП2 = - 54.9 million rubles
НДП3 = - 36.7 million rubles
НДП4 = - 9.4 million rubles
НДП5 = 26.9 million rubles
Thus, investments into the project will pay off fully only in the fifth year of the project.
T = TC + (NC/PN),
Where T – period of payback, TC is the number of years prior to payback, NS – unrecovered cost of the project at the beginning of the year of payback, that is for 5 year (last negative amount NPD), MON – cash flow in the first year of payback (40 million rubles).
In our example, T = 4 + (9.4 / 40) = 4,2 year.
In other words, the project will pay for itself in 4 years, 2 months and 12 days.
Advice 4 : How to calculate the payback period of the project
- calculator,amount of investment, variable and fixed costs, planned profit, Notepad and pen
S PR=S exp-(S post. ed+ S ed lane)
It should be remembered that the figures for different years are not the same. If business develops successfully, the costs are growing (requires more space, more staff, etc.), but revenue and profit are also not standing still.
S inv – S PR
When the answer is zero – the project will be considered fully recoup. If a large-scale project for a year, he couldn't get to breakeven, so the metrics should be calculated for several years.
Advice 5 : How to determine the payback period of the project
T (OK) period of recoupment;
T1 – the number of years that precede the year of recoupment;
– Unrecovered cost (beginning-of-year payback of the project);
N – cash flow per year payback.
Advice 6 : How to calculate payback period
PP = I/CF where:
PP – payback period,
I – the initial investment in the development of the project,
CF – the average annual value of cash receipts from the project.
Advice 7 : How to determine the payback period of capital cost
The essence of the payback period of capital investments
In economic analysis there are different approaches to the definition of the payback period. This figure is used in the framework of a comparative analysis in the determination of the most favorable option for investment. It should be noted that it is only used in complex analysis, make the payback period for the main parameter of efficiency is not quite right. Definition of payback period as a priority is only possible if the company is focused on rapid return on investment.
On the other hand, under other equal conditions, preference is given to projects that have the shortest payback period.
During implementation of the project with borrowed money, it is important that the payback period was shorter than the period of use of external borrowings.
The indicator is a priority in that case, if the investor's principal is the most rapid return on investment, for example the choice of ways of financial improvement of bankrupt enterprises.
Under the payback period is the period during which the reimbursed capital costs. This is achieved due to additional income (for example, more efficient equipment) or savings (for example, the introduction of energy efficient production lines). If we are talking about the country, then compensation is due to the increase in national income.
In practice, the payback period is the time period during which the profits of the company, secured capital investment equal to the investment amount. It can different - a month, a year, etc. Importantly, the payback period did not exceed normative values. They differ depending on the specific project and industry focus. For example, to upgrade equipment at the enterprise normative one, and in the construction of the road is another.
The calculation of the payback period should be performed with respect to the time lag between capital investments and the effect of them, as well as changes in prices and other factors (inflation, rising cost of energy, etc.). According to this approach, the payback period - the time period through which when considering a discount rate would level a positive cash flow (discounted income) and negative (discounted investment).
The calculation of the payback period
In its simplest form, the payback period is calculated as the ratio of capital investments to profit from them. However, this approach does not account for the temporal estimation of the investment costs. This leads to nekorrektno, a conservative estimate of the payback period.
More correct is the analysis of investment projects taking into account inflation, alternative investment options, maintenance of the loan capital.
Therefore, the payback period is equal to the sum of the number of years that preceded the year of payback, and relationships unrecovered cost at start of year payback to cash flow during year of payback. The calculation algorithm is as follows:
- calculation discontinuing cash flow based on discount rate;
- calculation of cumulative discounted cash flow as the sum of costs and revenues on the project - it is calculated before the first positive value.
It only remains to substitute these values into the formula.
Advice 8 : How to calculate the payback period
Calculation of simple payback period
Method simple payback period is one of the easiest ways of evaluation of the project. To calculate this index it is enough to know the net cash flow for the project. Based on this calculated balance of accumulated cash flows. When choosing among several investment projects to implement the adopted project, whose payback period is the least.
Assume that the initial investment in the project amounted to 180 million rubles. The project will be implemented within 5 years, it will annually generate cash flows:
1 year: 40 million rubles
2 year: 30 million rubles
3 year: 50 million rubles
4 year: 70 million rubles
5 year: 90 million rubles
It is necessary to calculate the simple payback period.
Using the data presented, it is necessary to make the analytical table. The payback period for the project is calculated by summing the annual cash flows as long as the amount of future cash inflows is equal to the magnitude of the initial investment costs.
The table shows that the balance of the accumulated cash flow takes positive in the period between 3rd and 4th year of implementation of the investment project. To calculate the exact payback period will help the following formula:
In this example, the payback period is: 3 years 10 months
The main disadvantage of this method is that the calculation is not used, the procedure of discounting, and thus does not take into account the decrease in the value of money over time.
The calculation of the discounted payback period
Discounted payback period is the period for which the discounted cash flows to cover the initial costs associated with the investment project. Discounted payback period is always less than simple, as over time, the value of cash is always decreasing. The procedure of discounting allows to take into account when calculating the cost of capital employed.
Assume that the initial investment in the project amounted to 150 million rubles. The discount rate is 15%. The project will be implemented within 3 years, it will annually generate cash flows:
1 year: 30 million rubles
2nd year: 120 million rubles
3 year 15 million rubles
It is necessary to calculate discounted payback period.
The presented data it is also necessary to make the analytical table. In the first stage is calculated discounted cash flow in each period. Discounted payback period for the project is calculated by summing the annual discounted cash flows as long as the amount of future cash inflows is equal to the magnitude of the initial investment costs.
The table shows that the balance of the accumulated discounted payback period does not take a positive value, therefore, in the framework of the project payback is achieved.